Archive | December 2015

The Climate Monster

It’s hard to argue with the data on human influence of climate. This is because it can be demonstrated empirically through study of instances that have already occurred. The risk assessments however are not so empirical.

The problem is that it’s an extrapolation of trends implicit in the climate model. There is no explicit data added for correction in prediction. This means that it’s kind of like futurism except with less rigor.

There is a lot of semantics that need to be addressed in order to even start to talk about Climate Change without creating some confusion. The definitions are murky waters to tread as they can be a single divisor in the effort to discuss it empirically.

The political discourse is more concerned about rallying support than understanding the problem. This is often the case with political discourse. It is not in the least bit surprising. This results in the definitions being expressed in a way that suits political agendas. It seems that I’ve spent more time trying to define what “is is” than discussing what could possibly be done to help. This is extremely frustrating because the climate could actually become an existential risk factor.

For instance the term “prediction” is used differently by the scientists than the bureaucrats and politicians. To the scientists, prediction means rational extrapolation of the data through time for economic purposes. This doesn’t necessarily mean that one could expect the outcome predicted and with complexity prediction becomes less likely to be accurate. It is silently understood by scientists that future anthropogenic effects on climate are at least too complex for humans to parse and maybe even intractable. For this reason this is looked at statistically instead. This however can not account for Uncertainty and Emergence. The most rational way to respond to this is to adopt behaviors that are essentially of the “better safe than sorry” variety. Statistically, it’s concerning enough to actually do something to mitigate it.

The political discourse however sees the opportunity to use the data for its purposes and promotes adamancy in the predictions. It seems like a small thing; but anyone who has studied politics knows that it produces a large effect. This is the problem. This political dichotomy is keeping the populous separate on the issue and is actually preventing public influence. Now THAT… was predictable. Where does this lead? It would appear to lead to austerity and Agenda 21. It also allows the politicians to continue taking the lobbyists money… and no action. This is a very poor model for addressing climate change.

They say that “the best way to predict the future is to create it”. This is more than conventional wisdom. The best way to address climate change is probably to support the sciences and technologies that have the potential to bring about homeostasis. This would likely be the factor that averts any possible unfavorable outcome. Why argue with those who are poised to only argue when you could actually be doing something to help? Support the sciences and emerging technologies, and stop worrying and doing nothing.

The Common Gray Imagined

animalien

Where did this long lived meme referred to as the gray alien come from? Is it likely that a species so similar to us could evolve on a planet or moon in a distant star system? Could it be a consequence of the psychological evolution of humans?

While studying the characteristics of the common gray, I noticed similarities with anime characters. I fused them in my Animalien piece. It was something that I was interested in for quite some time after. I continued to compare the aesthetics with other life on the planet and noticed that it seemed to be an exaggeration of the differences between humans and other animals. This expands to their character as well.

For instance:

  1. They are less colorful
  2. They are more spindly
  3. They have a larger brain to body size ratio
  4. They are more technologically advanced
  5. They have longer fingers
  6. They have a more conscious demeanor
  7. They are less flamboyant and more somber
  8. They are more fearless
  9. They are more indifferent to species they study
  10. They are more proficient in capturing species for study

It’s almost as though they are us in the future. I’m not going to entertain the notion that they are future humans time traveling for scientific purposes but rather a psychological manifestation of our guilt. The golden rule is something that we’ve touted and not really lived by in civilized society. We began living with nature and the other inhabitants in an more harmonious fashion. Now we are closed off and selfishly looting it to the expense of the other animals. We often tell others “what if someone did that to you” as if it were a reflex action. This is ingrained deeply in us but it’s not enough to suggest that the gray is a harbinger of it.

It’s thought that our nightmares of monsters have evolutionary advantage in keeping us weary of other creatures that would do us harm. Small children are often stricken by this fear. It may be innate behavior. It’s been postulated that we weren’t always the top of the food chain. This would have kept us aware as children and thus less likely to fall prey to predators. They often choose the young or sick to conserve energy. This might be a foundation for the manifestation of the gray alien meme.

The probing appears to be a symbol of what is referred to as mounting. Alpha male primates are known for penetrating the anuses of males lower in the hierarchy. It’s a demonstration of dominance and nothing more. It could be that we see our dominance over other species as primal and malevolent. Considering the manner in which we use them and the territory that they inhabit, it would seem warranted. We take them roughly from behind in many ways.

It doesn’t seem very likely that life from distant star systems would be so similar to us. Species evolve to be fit for specific environments. The idea that the first alien species that we might encounter being so similar to us would seem to be more of a vain notion than a realistic one. The idea that the common gray is a psychological manifestation isn’t new but I think the aesthetics appear to support it. It has the hallmarks of a symbol from our conscience. Even in the off chance that there is a gray alien that is trying to tell us something, it’s probably trying to tell us to reconnect with nature and be better stewards.